MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 11:51:35| >> :60:2002:2002:
Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio El Teniente
Medellin

Magallanes
1 - 1
Medellin

Zapata (90+5')
Filla (49'), Zapata (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Batalla (70')
Monsalve (47'), Batalla (51'), Valencia (83'), Mosquera (90+1')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Magallanes and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Always Ready 1-3 Magallanes
Thursday, March 2 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Medellin 2-1 El Nacional
Thursday, March 2 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magallanes win with a probability of 51.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 23.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magallanes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
MagallanesDrawIndependiente Medellin
51.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 23.14% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.82% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.29% (0.057000000000002 0.06)53.71% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)75.19% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Magallanes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)20.87% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)53.57% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.69% (0.044999999999995 0.04)38.31% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.94% (0.042999999999999 0.04)75.06% (-0.041999999999987 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Magallanes 51.49%
    Independiente Medellin 23.14%
    Draw 25.36%
MagallanesDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 51.49%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 8% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 23.14%

How you voted: Magallanes vs Medellin

Magallanes
46.7%
Draw
33.3%
Independiente Medellin
20.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24176158233557
2Arsenal25158251222953
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest25145641291247
4Manchester CityMan City25135752351744
5Bournemouth25127644291543
6Chelsea25127647341343
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2512584233941
8Fulham2510963833539
9Aston Villa2510873538-338
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
11Brentford25104114342134
12Crystal Palace257992932-330
13Everton257992731-430
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2576122947-1827
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Ipswich TownIpswich2538142350-2717
19Leicester CityLeicester2545162555-3017
20Southampton2523201957-389


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!