Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Medellin2 - 1Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Medellin 4-2 Metropolitanos
Thursday, May 4 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, May 4 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Torque 0-4 Nacional
Sunday, May 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, May 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Nacional |
45.29% ( 0.01) | 26.45% ( -0.01) | 28.26% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.05% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
