Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 3, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
Internacional2 - 2Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Internacional and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 1-0 Goias
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 La Luz
Saturday, April 29 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, April 29 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 17.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Internacional | Draw | Nacional |
60.16% ( 2.51) | 22.55% ( -0.14) | 17.29% ( -2.37) |
Both teams to score 48.37% ( -3.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.24% ( -2.89) | 49.76% ( 2.9) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.24% ( -2.64) | 71.76% ( 2.65) |
Internacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% ( -0.15) | 16.13% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.43% ( -0.28) | 45.57% ( 0.28) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.67% ( -4.4) | 42.33% ( 4.41) |