Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Danubio	Draw	Nacional
34.53% ( -0.36)	28.85% ( 0.18)	36.62% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 45.28% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.68% (

-0.65)

61.32% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.77% (

-0.49)

81.23% (

0.49)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.61% (

-0.58)

33.39% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.98% (

-0.64)

70.02% (

0.64)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

-0.22)

32.02% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.51% (

-0.25)

68.49% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Danubio 34.52%

Nacional 36.62%

Draw 28.84%

Danubio	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.52%	1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.84%	0-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.62%

Head to Head

Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm

Nacional

2-0

Danubio

Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')

Hernandez (32')

Jun 25, 2022 7pm

Danubio

0-1

Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')

Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')

Jun 5, 2022 7pm

Danubio

2-1

Nacional

German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')

Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')

Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm

Danubio

2-1

Nacional

Siri (41'), Mendez (90+1')
Mendez (21'), Monzon (29'), Ichazo (90+7')

Vecino (23')
Vecino (37'), Corujo (44'), Orihuela (50')

Nov 21, 2020 10.30pm

Nacional

0-2

Danubio

Trasante (34'), Bergessio (63'), Martinez (90+5')
Laborda (62')