Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 12, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Danubio1 - 0Cerro
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Cerro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 0-0 Danubio (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cerro 2-2 Nacional
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Danubio in this match.
Result | ||
Danubio | Draw | Cerro |
46.18% ( 0.12) | 28.89% ( -0.02) | 24.93% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 41.24% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.64% ( 0.01) | 64.36% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.56% ( 0.01) | 83.44% ( -0) |
Danubio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.94% ( 0.07) | 28.06% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.28% ( 0.08) | 63.72% ( -0.08) |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.32% ( -0.09) | 42.68% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.98% ( -0.07) | 79.02% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Danubio 46.17%
Cerro 24.92%
Draw 28.88%
Danubio | Draw | Cerro |
1-0 @ 15.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.97% 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.08% Total : 24.92% |
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Danubio
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Jones (30' pen.)
Sosa (19'), Siri (66'), Victorino (75'), Fritzler (90+7'), Bermudez (90+8')
Sosa (19'), Siri (66'), Victorino (75'), Fritzler (90+7'), Bermudez (90+8')
Aug 30, 2020 4.30pm
Cerro
1-2
Danubio
Villar (11')
Izquierdo (44'), Moreira (56'), Tancredi (84'), Lopez (90+2')
Filgueira (90')
Izquierdo (44'), Moreira (56'), Tancredi (84'), Lopez (90+2')
Filgueira (90')
Sep 22, 2019 8pm
Mar 3, 2019 7.30pm
Danubio
1-0
Cerro
Felipe (61')
Felipe (3'), Ancheta (28')
Felipe (3'), Ancheta (28')
Gonzalez (36'), Brasil (80'), Viera (88'), Olivera (89')
Oct 7, 2018 7pm
Danubio
0-0
Cerro
Ceppelini (70'), Rodriguez (76')
Zazpe (55'), Porras (76'), Ciganda (86'), Klein (89')
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