Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Feb 25, 2023 at 12.45pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
3 - 2
Cerro

Castro (23'), Rivero (27'), Alfonso (90+4')
Kidd (20'), Trasante (77'), Busquets (83'), Pereira (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Rodriguez (17'), Magallanes (90+2')
Cabral (39'), Ojeda (55'), Magallanes (58'), Lacoste (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: Racing 0-0 River Plate
Sunday, February 19 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cerro

All competitions

Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Maldonado
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.64%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 27.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.18%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Cerro
41.64% ( 0.07)	30.9% ( -0.03)	27.46% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 38.17% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.06% (

0.05)

68.94% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.45% (

0.03)

86.55% (

-0.03)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.08% (

0.07)

32.92% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.5% (

0.07)

69.5% (

-0.08)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.91% (

-0.01)

43.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.64% (

-0.01)

79.37% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

River Plate 41.64%

Cerro 27.46%

Draw 30.89%

River Plate	Draw	Cerro
1-0 @ 15.76% 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.64%	0-0 @ 14.18% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 30.89%	0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.46%