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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 4, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 1
River Plate

Brasil (74'), Galletto (90+8')
Viera (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dos Santos (90+5')
Formento (89')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Torque
Friday, October 21 at 7.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawRiver Plate
30.96% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 25.89% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 43.15% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)50.82% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)72.7% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)30.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)66.66% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)23.41% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)57.4% (0.1 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 30.96%
    River Plate 43.15%
    Draw 25.88%
Cerro LargoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.48% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.32% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.04% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.96%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.023 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.15%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 10pm
River Plate
0-5
Cerro Largo

Gianoli (64'), Tizon (71'), Silva (90+1')
Borbas (7'), Lopez (19'), Ocampo (45+1'), Cruz De los Santos (74'), Ergas (89' og.)
Montiel (50'), Borbas (53')
Jul 25, 2022 10pm
Cerro Largo
0-0
River Plate

Romero (57'), Enrique (58'), Max (84')

Alfonso (41'), Borbas (58'), Lavega (72')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
River Plate
1-1
Cerro Largo
Salaberry (27')
Diaz (2'), Borbas (41'), Urreta (58'), Diaz (79'), Brunelli (90+1')
Max (53')
Gianoli (45+4'), Max (45+4'), Garcia (56')
Max (56')
Oct 2, 2021 7.30pm
River Plate
0-4
Cerro Largo
Brasil (8'), Di Yorio (60'), Cayetano (65'), Onetto (84')
Brasil (81')
Jun 6, 2021 9.15pm
Cerro Largo
2-4
River Plate
Otormin (45+3' pen.), Cayetano (64')
Etcheverry (3')
Borbas (18'), Arezo (33', 89', 90+7')
Salaberry (58'), Napoli (70'), Arezo (80')
rhs 2.0
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