Defensor

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Danubio

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.