Wanderers

1 - 1

Defensor

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.