Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14

Oct 17, 2022 at 9.30pm UK

Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Wanderers
2 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Mana (47'), Castro (75')
Figueredo (2'), Mana (45+5'), Fracchia (68'), Silveira (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ebere (5')
Guirin (44'), Ayala (78'), Saravia (90+3'), Suhr (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 Cerrito
Friday, October 14 at 1.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Plaza Colonia

All competitions

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-2 Torque
Wednesday, October 12 at 4.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Plaza Colonia
43.45% ( 0.65)	27.87% ( 0.18)	28.68% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 46.25% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.72% (

-0.96)

59.27% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.32% (

-0.75)

79.68% (

0.75)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

-0.11)

27.07% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.55% (

-0.14)

62.44% (

0.14)

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.42% (

-1.17)

36.58% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.63% (

-1.2)

73.36% (

1.2)

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 43.44%

Plaza Colonia 28.68%

Draw 27.87%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.44%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.86% Total : 28.68%