Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13

May 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Danubio
1 - 2
Defensor

Rodriguez (5')
Rea (76')
Cabrera (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Navarro (45+8' pen.), Balboa (78' pen.)
Rocha (39'), Matturro (89')
Balboa (81')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.75%) and 1-2 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.95%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Danubio	Draw	Defensor Sporting
24.33% ( -0.06)	30.99% ( -0.02)	44.67% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 36.19% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.63% (

0.02)

70.37% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.53% (

0.01)

87.47% (

-0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.16% (

-0.05)

46.84% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.64% (

-0.03)

82.36% (

0.03)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07% (

0.06)

31.93% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62% (

0.07)

68.38% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Danubio 24.33%

Defensor Sporting 44.67%

Draw 30.99%

Danubio	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 24.33%	0-0 @ 14.95% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 12.95% 2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 30.99%	0-1 @ 17.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 44.67%