Defensor
3 - 2
River Plate

Sant'Anna (7'), Mendez (43'), Navarro (50' pen.)
Rocha (29'), de los Santos (85'), Barrios (90+5')
Rocha (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Borbas (69' pen.), Sosa (79' pen.)
Salaberry (22')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	River Plate
33.35%	26.64%	40.01%

Both teams to score 51.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76%

53.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2%

74.79%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94%

30.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81%

66.19%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.89%

26.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.83%

61.17%

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 33.35%

River Plate 40%

Draw 26.64%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 7.61% 2-0 @ 5.67% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.35%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.28% Total : 40%