Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 19, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor1 - 0La Luz
Cambon (90+5')
Rocha (49'), Bonifazi (90+7'), Cambon (90+8'), Elizari (90+9')
Rocha (49'), Bonifazi (90+7'), Cambon (90+8'), Elizari (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Porcile (42'), Mendez (90+8'), Cardozo (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and La Luz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Defensor
Monday, February 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, February 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 3-4 Penarol
Tuesday, February 14 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, February 14 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | La Luz |
42.95% ( -0.88) | 26.9% ( -0.15) | 30.15% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.85% ( 1.01) | 55.15% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.6% ( 0.82) | 76.4% ( -0.82) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( 0.01) | 25.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.74% ( 0.01) | 60.26% ( -0.01) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( 1.31) | 33.25% ( -1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.13% ( 1.42) | 69.87% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Defensor Sporting 42.95%
La Luz 30.15%
Draw 26.89%
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | La Luz |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.15% |
