Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Jul 17, 2022 at 10.30pm UK

Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
2 - 1
Danubio

Sant'Anna (36'), Ferrari (59')
Barrios (7'), Sant'Anna (88'), de los Santos (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (76')
Ferreira (11')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Danubio
28.2% ( -0.05)	28.45% ( -0.01)	43.35% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 44.45% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.58% (

0.02)

61.42% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.69% (

0.01)

81.31% (

-0.01)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.85% (

-0.03)

38.15% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.09% (

-0.03)

74.91% (

0.03)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

0.04)

28.14% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18% (

0.05)

63.82% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 28.19%

Danubio 43.35%

Draw 28.44%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 28.19%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.44%	0-1 @ 13.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 43.35%