Torque0 - 3Defensor
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, February 27 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, February 25 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
Result | ||
Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
26.07% ( -0.22) | 27.67% ( 0.03) | 46.25% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 45.13% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.13% ( -0.2) | 59.87% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.86% ( -0.16) | 80.14% ( 0.16) |
Montevideo City Torque Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.92% ( -0.3) | 39.08% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.2% ( -0.29) | 75.8% ( 0.29) |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% ( 0) | 25.91% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.1% ( 0.01) | 60.9% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.49% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.66% | 0-1 @ 13.67% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.05% Total : 46.25% |
de los Santos (53'), Sant'Anna (90+1')
Elizari (56')
Alvarez (67'), Catarozzi (89'), Pena (90+3')
Rodriguez (50'), Boggio (86'), Mallo (90+5')