Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
Danubio	Draw	Emelec
37.67% ( 0.08)	28.86% ( -0.07)	33.46% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 45.1% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.52% (

0.23)

61.47% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.65% (

0.17)

81.35% (

-0.18)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.55% (

0.16)

31.45% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.17% (

0.19)

67.83% (

-0.19)

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79% (

0.11)

34.2% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1% (

0.12)

70.9% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Danubio 37.66%

Emelec 33.45%

Draw 28.86%

Danubio	Draw	Emelec
1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 37.66%	1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.86%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.45%