Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 3, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo

Tachira
1 - 4
Emelec

Uribe (37')
Garces (45+2'), Cova (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Rodriguez (3', 11', 59' pen.), Cabeza (74')
Quintero (45+1'), Garces (90')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Deportivo Tachira and Emelec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Tachira

Last Game: Palmeiras 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Tachira vs. Santos
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Emelec

Last Game: Emelec 7-0 Independiente Petrolero
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Emelec vs. Atletico Mineiro
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Tachira win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Emelec had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Emelec win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Tachira	Draw	Emelec
37.72%	25.46%	36.83%

Both teams to score 56.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.25%

47.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.06%

69.94%

Deportivo Tachira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17%

24.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58%

59.42%

Emelec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.68%

25.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.9%

60.1%

Score Analysis

Deportivo Tachira 37.72%

Emelec 36.83%

Draw 25.45%

Deportivo Tachira	Draw	Emelec
1-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 0.99% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.81% Total : 37.72%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.29% 2-2 @ 5.76% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 5.93% 1-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 0.93% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.83%