While Deportivo Tachira did fight well in South America's top competition, we see the travelling Brazilian outfit as the stronger side and back them to pick up a narrow win before the home leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo Tachira	Draw	Santos
35.33% ( -0.03)	27.66% ( -0.01)	37.01% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.82% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.02% (

0.05)

56.97% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.12% (

0.04)

77.88% (

-0.04)

Deportivo Tachira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

0.01)

30.65% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

0.01)

66.89% (

-0.01)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

0.05)

29.61% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

0.06)

65.64% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Deportivo Tachira 35.33%

Santos 37%

Draw 27.66%

Deportivo Tachira	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 35.33%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 37%