Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Mar 31, 2023 at 8pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
2 - 1
Danubio

Pereira (7'), Cruz De los Santos (36')
Cristobal (12'), Trasante (21'), Pereira (80'), Lopez (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vera (62')
Sosa (75'), Rea (84'), Ponte (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Nacional 3-0 River Plate
Sunday, March 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Danubio

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Danubio 4-0 Maldonado
Saturday, March 25 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Danubio
39.3% ( -0.01)	27.93% ( 0.01)	32.77% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.63% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.71% (

-0.05)

58.28% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.09% (

-0.04)

78.91% (

0.04)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11% (

-0.03)

28.89% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.23% (

-0.04)

64.76% (

0.03)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98% (

-0.03)

33.01% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.4% (

-0.03)

69.6% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

River Plate 39.3%

Danubio 32.77%

Draw 27.92%

River Plate	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 39.3%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.77%