MX23RW : Friday, June 28 05:33:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Nacional

Mendez (78'), Laquintana (90')
Coelho (18'), Arezo (21'), Homenchenko (64')
Saravia (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (18'), Noguera (25'), Rodriguez (27')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Penarol
Saturday, March 25 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 River Plate
Sunday, March 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 36.23%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawNacional
36.23% (-0.161 -0.16) 29.02% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 34.76% (0.13 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.81% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.11% (-0.107 -0.11)61.89% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.34% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)81.66% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.43% (-0.157 -0.16)32.57% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.89% (-0.178 -0.18)69.11% (0.182 0.18)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)33.54% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82% (0.035 0.04)70.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 36.22%
    Nacional 34.75%
    Draw 29%
PenarolDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.22%
1-1 @ 13.38%
0-0 @ 10.92% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.52% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 34.75%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 7.30pm
Nacional
3-1
Penarol
Laborda (45+1'), Suarez (53'), Candido (76')
Lozano (12'), Zabala (90+7')
Mendez (61')
Rak (14'), Rossi (77'), Lozano (86'), Da Silveira (90+8')
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Penarol
1-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (32' pen.)
Arias (73')
Ceppelini (40')

Trezza (42'), Luis Rodriguez (49'), Gigliotti (77'), Trasante (90+4')
Gigliotti (82')
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Penarol
0-0
Nacional

Ceppelini (59'), Gargano (78'), Dawson (90+2')

Carballo (13'), Trezza (45'), Polenta (56'), Zunino (59'), Almeida (80'), Ocampo (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16
Penarol
0-1
Nacional

Acosta (62'), Gonzalez (83')
Musto (90+6')
Corujo (90+11')
Cantera (20'), Fernandez (62'), Trezza (83')
Carballo (90+4'), Cantera (90+10')
Jul 16, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16
Nacional
1-2
Penarol
Bergessio (90+5')
Marichal (65'), Mendez (76')
Canobbio (45+2'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Rodriguez (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

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Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

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Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

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Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

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Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
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