MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:22:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Rosario

Braida (50')
Perruzzi (18'), Bareiro (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ortiz (28'), Mallo (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Colon
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: San Lorenzo 1-0 Rosario Central

Given San Lorenzo's struggles in front of goal and Rosario's poor away form, we think this will be a low-scoring affair. San Lorenzo are yet to lose at home this season, and their defensive record suggests that they will be able to keep their opponents out and edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
59.29% (6.224 6.22) 25.07% (-2.348 -2.35) 15.63% (-3.877 -3.88)
Both teams to score 38.64% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.9% (2.787 2.79)61.1% (-2.788 -2.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.93% (2.037 2.04)81.07% (-2.038 -2.04)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (3.821 3.82)20.68% (-3.822 -3.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (5.689 5.69)53.27% (-5.692 -5.69)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.71% (-3.258 -3.26)51.29% (3.257 3.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (-2.281 -2.28)85.53% (2.28 2.28)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 59.29%
    Rosario Central 15.64%
    Draw 25.06%
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 16.71% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 13.17% (1.54 1.54)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.259 0.26)
3-0 @ 6.92% (1.463 1.46)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.619 0.62)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.808 0.81)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.414 0.41)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.97 -0.97)
0-0 @ 10.6% (-1.16 -1.16)
2-2 @ 2.94% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.08% (-1.547 -1.55)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.724 -0.72)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.8 -0.8)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 15.64%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Rosario

San Lorenzo
73.3%
Draw
26.7%
Rosario Central
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
San Lorenzo
1-1
Rosario
Gattoni (79')
Maroni (13'), Gattoni (44'), Zapata (73'), Hernandez (89')
Malcorra (75')
Ortiz (6'), Blanco (26'), Mac Allister (39'), Malcorra (74')
Sep 20, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
Rosario
1-0
San Lorenzo
Martinez (86')
Ojeda (45'), Martinez (86')

Gordillo (16'), Peruzzi (45+1')
May 13, 2021 1.30am
Apr 29, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Rosario
2-0
San Lorenzo
Ezequiel Almada (11'), Gamba (81')
Apr 2, 2021 11pm
First Phase
San Lorenzo
2-0
Rosario
Di Santo (37'), Romero (90+13')
Melano (64'), Rosane (70'), Sabella (90+10')

Tanlongo (35'), Avila (43'), Blanco (75'), Vecchio (90+4'), Ferreyra (90+10')
Vecchio (90+10'), Blanco (90+12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Atletico TucumanTucuman219662121033
6Racing ClubRacing209472820831
7River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16Rosario CentralRosario216782321225
17GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
18Boca Juniors206772122-125
19Independiente Rivadavia216781421-725
20San Lorenzo206681618-224
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento214981521-621
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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