MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 03:04:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Jul 1, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 0
Rosario

Braida (50')
Perruzzi (18'), Bareiro (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ortiz (28'), Mallo (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Rosario Central, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Colon
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: San Lorenzo 1-0 Rosario Central

Given San Lorenzo's struggles in front of goal and Rosario's poor away form, we think this will be a low-scoring affair. San Lorenzo are yet to lose at home this season, and their defensive record suggests that they will be able to keep their opponents out and edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
59.29% (6.224 6.22) 25.07% (-2.348 -2.35) 15.63% (-3.877 -3.88)
Both teams to score 38.64% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.9% (2.787 2.79)61.1% (-2.788 -2.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.93% (2.037 2.04)81.07% (-2.038 -2.04)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (3.821 3.82)20.68% (-3.822 -3.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.73% (5.689 5.69)53.27% (-5.692 -5.69)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.71% (-3.258 -3.26)51.29% (3.257 3.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.46% (-2.281 -2.28)85.53% (2.28 2.28)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 59.29%
    Rosario Central 15.64%
    Draw 25.06%
San LorenzoDrawRosario Central
1-0 @ 16.71% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 13.17% (1.54 1.54)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.259 0.26)
3-0 @ 6.92% (1.463 1.46)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.619 0.62)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.808 0.81)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.414 0.41)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.97 -0.97)
0-0 @ 10.6% (-1.16 -1.16)
2-2 @ 2.94% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.08% (-1.547 -1.55)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.724 -0.72)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.8 -0.8)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 15.64%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Rosario

San Lorenzo
73.3%
Draw
26.7%
Rosario Central
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
San Lorenzo
1-1
Rosario
Gattoni (79')
Maroni (13'), Gattoni (44'), Zapata (73'), Hernandez (89')
Malcorra (75')
Ortiz (6'), Blanco (26'), Mac Allister (39'), Malcorra (74')
Sep 20, 2021 10pm
Second Phase
Rosario
1-0
San Lorenzo
Martinez (86')
Ojeda (45'), Martinez (86')

Gordillo (16'), Peruzzi (45+1')
May 13, 2021 1.30am
Apr 29, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Rosario
2-0
San Lorenzo
Ezequiel Almada (11'), Gamba (81')
Apr 2, 2021 11pm
First Phase
San Lorenzo
2-0
Rosario
Di Santo (37'), Romero (90+13')
Melano (64'), Rosane (70'), Sabella (90+10')

Tanlongo (35'), Avila (43'), Blanco (75'), Vecchio (90+4'), Ferreyra (90+10')
Vecchio (90+10'), Blanco (90+12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield24129335152045
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3TalleresTalleres2411943124742
4Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2410682625136
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2410682525036
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2471252116533
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense248971817133
12Deportivo Riestra248972525033
13GimnasiaGimnasia248882120132
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15BelgranoBelgrano2471072828031
16Independiente Rivadavia248791924-531
17TigreTigre247982628-230
18Rosario CentralRosario247892523229
19Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2461172325-229
20LanusLanus2461172228-629
21San Lorenzo237791921-228
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2477102631-528
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa246992431-727
24Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2475121824-626
25Sarmiento2459101625-924
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2466121933-1424
27BanfieldBanfield2458112130-923
28Barracas Central2448121230-1820


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