Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Barracas Central	Draw	San Lorenzo
26.49% ( 2.59)	28.96% ( -0.24)	44.55% ( -2.35)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

2.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.21% (

2.05)

63.78% (

-2.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.97% (

1.44)

83.03% (

-1.44)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.07% (

3.59)

40.93% (

-3.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.5% (

3.06)

77.49% (

-3.06)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36% (

-0.24)

28.64% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55% (

-0.3)

64.45% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Barracas Central 26.49%

San Lorenzo 44.55%

Draw 28.95%

Barracas Central	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.64) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.2) Other @ 1.27% Total : 26.49%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.92) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.38) Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.95%	0-1 @ 14.65% ( -1.26) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.85) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 44.55%