Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Instituto
49.99% ( -0.05)	28.19% ( 0.04)	21.82% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 40.1% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.72% (

-0.09)

64.28% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.61% (

-0.06)

83.39% (

0.06)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88% (

-0.06)

26.12% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.82% (

-0.09)

61.18% (

0.09)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.28% (

-0.04)

45.72% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.5% (

-0.03)

81.5% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 49.99%

Instituto 21.82%

Draw 28.19%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Instituto
1-0 @ 16.03% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 49.99%	1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.82%