Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Instituto win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensa y Justicia in this match.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Instituto
45.97% ( 0.04)	26.05% ( 0.06)	27.98% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.09% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.14% (

-0.3)

52.85% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.53% (

-0.25)

74.47% (

0.25)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

-0.11)

22.95% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.27% (

-0.16)

56.73% (

0.16)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31% (

-0.23)

33.68% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

-0.26)

70.33% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 45.96%

Instituto 27.98%

Draw 26.04%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Instituto
1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 45.96%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.98%