MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:47:13| >> :60:166:166:
Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda
Medellin

Internacional
3 - 1
Medellin

Mauricio (3'), Adriano (22', 27')
Zwarg (46'), Vitao (65')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Pons (50')
Alvarado (46'), Pons (52'), Cadavid (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Internacional and Independiente Medellin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: America Mineiro 1-2 Internacional
Sunday, June 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Last Game: Metropolitanos 0-1 Medellin
Thursday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

We said: Internacional 1-0 Independiente Medellin

 The Brazilians should feel comfortable knowing that this match is on their home field, where they seem to show much more poise and precision. As for Independiente Medellin, they have been too unpredictable lately, and the fact that their opponents have been in this position a couple of times recently and got the job done has us leaning towards the home team to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 67.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawIndependiente Medellin
67.41% (0.0010000000000048 0) 19.54%13.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 47.76% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.76%45.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.42%67.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.62% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.38%
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.55%45.45% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)81.29% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Internacional 67.4%
    Independiente Medellin 13.05%
    Draw 19.54%
InternacionalDrawIndependiente Medellin
2-0 @ 12.28%
1-0 @ 11.78%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 6.73%
4-0 @ 4.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 2.65%
5-0 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 67.4%
1-1 @ 9.29%
0-0 @ 5.66%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.54%
0-1 @ 4.46%
1-2 @ 3.66%
0-2 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 13.05%

How you voted: Internacional vs Medellin

Internacional
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Independiente Medellin
0.0%
24
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Medellin
1-1
Internacional
May 17, 2022 11.15pm
Group Stage
Internacional
2-0
Medellin
Edenilson (19', 57')
Edenilson (20')

Guillermo Arboleda (40')
Apr 27, 2022 1.30am
Group Stage
Medellin
0-1
Internacional

Moreno (90+5')
Alemao (54')
rhs 2.0
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