Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 26, 2023 at 1am UK

Metropolitanos
1 - 2
Internacional

Vargas (50')
Ferro (14'), Vargas (53'), Luis Moreno (64'), Anton (90+1')
Jose Sequera (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Patrick (17' pen.), Adriano (30')
Hernandez (49'), Patrick (71'), Baralhas (78'), Gomes (87')
Hernandez (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Internacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metropolitanos

Last Game: Medellin 4-2 Metropolitanos
Thursday, May 4 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Internacional

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Gremio 3-1 Internacional
Sunday, May 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
Metropolitanos	Draw	Internacional
28.07% ( 0.16)	26.99% ( 0.13)	44.94% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 48.36% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.59% (

-0.38)

56.41% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.58% (

-0.31)

77.42% (

0.31)

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.49% (

-0.08)

35.51% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.72% (

-0.08)

72.28% (

0.08)

Internacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

-0.31)

25% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34% (

-0.43)

59.66% (

0.43)

Score Analysis

Metropolitanos 28.07%

Internacional 44.93%

Draw 26.99%

Metropolitanos	Draw	Internacional
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.07%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.93%