Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Always Ready2 - 0Medellin
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Always Ready and Independiente Medellin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Always Ready (5-4 pen.)
Friday, March 15 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, March 15 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tolima 0-0 Medellin (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, March 6 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, March 6 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 65.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Always Ready in this match.
Result | ||
Always Ready | Draw | Independiente Medellin |
65.42% ( 0.12) | 20.47% ( 0.03) | 14.11% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 47.69% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.12% ( -0.45) | 46.88% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.87% ( -0.42) | 69.13% ( 0.42) |
Always Ready Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.48% ( -0.1) | 13.52% ( 0.1) |