Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 8, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal El Alto
Always Ready1 - 0Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Always Ready and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cristal 3-1 Always Ready
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Wanderers
Saturday, March 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, March 2 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Always Ready win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Always Ready would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Always Ready | Draw | Nacional |
50.09% ( 0.25) | 23.72% ( -0.07) | 26.19% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
