Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Mar 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional3 - 0Wanderers
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fonseca (44'), Cerro (44'), Risso (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Puerto Cabello
Wednesday, February 28 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 28 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Racing
Friday, February 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, February 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
56.06% ( 3.29) | 24.83% ( -0.87) | 19.1% ( -2.42) |
| Both teams to score 45.02% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.07% ( 0.51) | 55.93% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% ( 0.41) | 77.04% ( -0.41) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( 1.54) | 19.9% ( -1.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.96% ( 2.43) | 52.03% ( -2.43) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.2% ( -2.34) | 43.8% ( 2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.04% ( -2) | 79.95% ( 1.99) |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 56.05%
Montevideo Wanderers 19.1%
Draw 24.82%
| Nacional | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.82)2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.28)4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.2)Other @ 3.51% Total : 56.05% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.51)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.48)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.76% Total : 19.1% |
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 10.30pm
Apr 25, 2023 12am
Gameweek 12
Wanderers
0-1
Nacional
Mar 20, 2022 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Wanderers
2-2
Nacional
Oct 22, 2021 12.30am
Form Guide
