Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Nov 26, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional3 - 1Wanderers
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fenix 1-1 Nacional
Monday, November 20 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, November 20 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 River Plate
Monday, November 20 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, November 20 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
55.07% ( -0.49) | 24.83% ( 0.25) | 20.1% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.48% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
