Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.53%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.