MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 08:33:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Nov 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 3
Danubio

Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 2-2 Penarol
Saturday, November 11 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, November 11 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
51.94% (0.473 0.47) 26.08% (-0.192 -0.19) 21.98% (-0.283 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.52% (0.187 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65% (0.417 0.42)57.35% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (0.331 0.33)78.17% (-0.333 -0.33)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.82% (0.381 0.38)22.17% (-0.383 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.42% (0.57 0.57)55.57% (-0.573 -0.57)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.49% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)41.51% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)78% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 51.94%
    Danubio 21.98%
    Draw 26.08%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 13.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.077 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 51.94%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.2% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 21.98%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
Siri (41'), Mendez (90+1')
Mendez (21'), Monzon (29'), Ichazo (90+7')
Vecino (23')
Vecino (37'), Corujo (44'), Orihuela (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1DanubioDanubio440070712
2PenarolPenarol43101111010
3Boston RiverBoston River43016339
4Montevideo WanderersWanderers43015329
5Rampla JuniorsRampla43016519
6NacionalNacional42207438
7Racing de MontevideoRacing42114317
8Miramar Misiones41213305
9LiverpoolLiverpool411223-14
10FenixFenix411213-24
11River PlateRiver Plate411259-44
12CerroCerro411227-54
13Defensor SportingDefensor402246-22
14Cerro Largo401315-41
15ProgresoProgreso401304-41
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado400416-50
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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