MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 09:32:33| >> :60:559:559:
Medellin
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 26, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Defensa y Justicia

Medellin
2 - 1
Defensa

Muniz (1'), Monsalve (22')
Arias (8'), Manuel Orejuela (10'), Moreno (72'), Monsalve (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Palavecino (76')
Lopez (7'), Herrera (62'), Burgos (72'), Bogarin (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Defensa y Justicia.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Medellin 4-2 Cesar Vallejo
Thursday, April 11 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Defensa (3-2 pen.)
Saturday, April 20 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 42.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result
Independiente MedellinDrawDefensa y Justicia
42.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 29.1% (0.148 0.15) 28.41% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 42.87% (-0.433 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.55% (-0.509 -0.51)63.45% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.21% (-0.37 -0.37)82.79% (0.369 0.37)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)29.6% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (-0.326 -0.33)65.64% (0.32400000000001 0.32)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (-0.385 -0.38)39.1% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (-0.364 -0.36)75.82% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Medellin 42.48%
    Defensa y Justicia 28.41%
    Draw 29.1%
Independiente MedellinDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.09% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 42.48%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.57% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.1%
0-1 @ 10.87% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 28.41%

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