Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25

Mar 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Famalicao

Estupinan (45+1'), Rochinha (47')
Silva (4'), Semedo (34'), Lameiras (65'), Soares (74'), Almeida (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pepe (6')
Batubinsika (37'), Tavares (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36
13	Estoril Praia	33	-9	36

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Famalicao

After languishing in the relegation places for most of the first half of the season, Famalicao have turned a corner in recent weeks and could move into the top half of the Primeira Liga standings with all three points this weekend. The Vila Nova face a struggling Vitoria de Guimaraes side who have managed just three points from their last 15 available and we predict they will keep their fine run going and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Famalicao
51.24%	23.9%	24.86%

Both teams to score 55.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77%

46.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48%

68.52%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.94%

18.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.03%

48.97%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33%

32.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.78%

69.22%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 51.23%

Famalicao 24.86%

Draw 23.9%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Famalicao
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.67% 2-0 @ 8.64% 3-1 @ 5.52% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.51% Total : 51.23%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.6% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.5% Total : 24.86%