Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 51.24%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.