Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Moreirense |
33.05% ( -0.55) | 27.67% ( 0.12) | 39.28% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 48.46% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.73% ( -0.56) | 57.27% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.89% ( -0.45) | 78.11% ( 0.44) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.7% ( -0.66) | 32.3% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% ( -0.75) | 68.8% ( 0.75) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -0.03) | 28.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% ( -0.03) | 64.16% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |