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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Chaves

Casa Pia
3 - 1
Chaves

Tchamba (44'), Soma (67'), Lacximicant (90+6')
Santos (37'), Neto (45+3'), Soma (67'), Segovia (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nwakali (65')
Moreno (43'), Guzzo (45+3'), Fernandes (56'), Correia (69'), Sanca (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Porto
Sunday, April 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-2 Chaves

The last four meetings between Casa Pia and Chaves have produced a combined 13 goals and we anticipate another action-packed contest this weekend. Having picked up four points from their last two games, Chaves visit the Estadio Pina Monique with renewed confidence and we are backing them to claim a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawChaves
33.82% (0.0040000000000049 0) 26.98% (0.02 0.02) 39.2% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)54.49% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15% (-0.07 -0.07)75.85% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)30.38% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)66.57% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)27.14% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.47% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)62.53% (0.07 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 33.82%
    Chaves 39.2%
    Draw 26.98%
Casa PiaDrawChaves
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 33.82%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.75% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 39.2%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 14
Chaves
1-3
Casa Pia
Jo (45')
Langa (29')
Clayton (20', 82'), Dias (23')
Cardoso (52')
Apr 29, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 30
Chaves
1-0
Casa Pia
Vitoria (42')
Nov 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Casa Pia
1-2
Chaves
Nunes (28')
Hernandez (82'), Vitoria (90+1' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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