Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, March 8 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
for
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Casa Pia 0-2 Benfica
Brimming with confidence from their midweek European success, Benfica will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing Schmidt's men to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
17.6% ( -0.35) | 22.86% ( -0.31) | 59.54% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( 0.69) | 50.55% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( 0.61) | 72.47% ( -0.61) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.58% ( -0.02) | 42.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.2% ( -0.02) | 78.8% ( 0.02) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( 0.47) | 16.62% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.54% ( 0.84) | 46.45% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.6% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 11.35% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 6.79% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.82% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.53% |
