Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38

Jun 6, 2023 at 6pm UK

Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
3 - 1
Trabzonspor

Turuc (34'), Elmali (48' og.), Lima (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Visca (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 2-3 Istanbul
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Trabzonspor

All competitions

Last Game: Trabzonspor 5-1 Alanyaspor
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 1-1 Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor's away form has been so poor this season, so it is tough to back them to win, even taking into account their excellent run of results. Basaksehir will have their eye on the cup final, but we are still expecting the hosts to be good enough to secure a share of the spoils on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Trabzonspor
46.75% ( 1.21)	24.68% ( 0.11)	28.56% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.15% (

-1.25)

46.85% (

1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.89% (

-1.18)

69.11% (

1.18)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.89% (

0.01)

20.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.63% (

0.02)

52.37% (

-0.02)

Trabzonspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

-1.57)

30.12% (

1.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.73% (

-1.92)

66.26% (

1.92)

Score Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir 46.75%

Trabzonspor 28.56%

Draw 24.67%

Istanbul Basaksehir	Draw	Trabzonspor
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.75%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.67%	0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.15% Total : 28.56%