Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 33

May 8, 2023 at 6pm UK

NEF Stadyumu

Galatasaray
1 - 0
Istanbul

Icardi (45+8' pen.)
Boey (38'), Torreira (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Biglia (10')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Galatasaray and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

All competitions

Last Game: Besiktas 3-1 Galatasaray
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions

Turkish Super Lig

Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Ankaragucu
Thursday, May 4 at 6.30pm in Turkish Cup

Goals
for

We said: Galatasaray 3-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

Galatasaray have been firing on all cylinders in front of their fans of late, netting 13 times across their last four home matches. We are tipping the hosts to come away with a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 67.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
67.74% ( -0.24)	18.2% ( 0.17)	14.06% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.42% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.37% (

-0.66)

36.63% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.22% (

-0.72)

58.78% (

0.71)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.08% (

-0.24)

9.92% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.17% (

-0.54)

32.83% (

0.54)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.53% (

-0.33)

38.47% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.78% (

-0.31)

75.22% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 67.73%

Istanbul Basaksehir 14.06%

Draw 18.2%

Galatasaray	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.09% Total : 67.73%	1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.2%	1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 14.06%