Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 3-1 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.