Istanbul1 - 2Fenerbahce
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 15 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
for
Saturday, April 15 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 1-2 Fenerbahce
Buoyed by Saturday's late comeback victory, Fenerbahce look set to add another win to their ever-growing tally, with the title chasers on course to inflict a fifth defeat in eight league outings on off-form Istanbul Basaksehir. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fenerbahce |
26.63% ( 0.26) | 23.42% ( 0.11) | 49.94% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.4% ( -0.27) | 42.59% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35% ( -0.27) | 65% ( 0.27) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.05) | 29.34% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.69% ( 0.07) | 65.31% ( -0.07) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( -0.24) | 17.18% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.55% ( -0.42) | 47.44% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 26.63% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.97% Total : 49.94% |
How you voted: Istanbul vs Fenerbahce
Hakan Yandas (19'), Tekdemir (29'), Ndayishimiye (38'), Valencia (60'), Kadioglu (90+3')
Tekdemir (60')
