MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 03:17:15| >> :600:391248:391248:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Istanbul Basaksehir
Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 15, 2023 at 5pm UK
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Gent

Istanbul
1 - 4
Gent

Januzaj (88')
Gurler (24'), Biglia (36'), Touba (71')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Orban (31', 32', 34'), Cuypers (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa Conference League clash between Istanbul Basaksehir and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Istanbul 0-2 Besiktas
Sunday, March 12 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Gent

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zulte 2-6 Gent
Sunday, March 12 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 0-1 Gent (AET, Gent win 2-1 on aggregate)

 Despite the even final scoreline, Gent had plenty of chances to come into the second leg with an advantage from the mud-soaked tie in Belgium. Basaksehir may have the bonus of home advantage, but if Gent can be slightly more ruthless, they should come out on top in what may well be a tight tie that goes to extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Gent had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawGent
44.84% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.86% (0.0020000000000024 0) 31.29% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 60.28% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)41.72% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)64.12% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7%50.3%
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.28% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)25.71% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 44.84%
    Gent 31.29%
    Draw 23.86%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawGent
2-1 @ 9.17%
1-0 @ 8.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 44.84%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.15%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.29%

How you voted: Istanbul vs Gent

Istanbul Basaksehir
48.8%
Gent
51.2%
84
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Gent
1-1
Istanbul
Orban (35')
Okaka (16')
Turuc (49'), Touba (83'), Gurler (84'), Belozoglu (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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