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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Istanbul Basaksehir

Kasimpasa
1 - 3
Istanbul

Ozcan (16')
Hajradinovic (36'), Ben Ouannes (47'), Kalkan (85'), Kara (90+7'), Eysseric (90+11'), Ciftpinar (90+13')
Ben Ouannes (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aleksic (48'), Turuc (90+9' pen.), Szysz (90+11')
Tekdemir (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-2 Karagumruk
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Istanbul
Saturday, January 14 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 0-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

 While Kasimpasa have put in some much-improved performances recently, Basaksehir are likely to emerge as comfortable winners, given the disparity between the teams in the league standings. Belozoglu's side rarely run away with matches, only winning by more than two goals on one occasion in the Turkish Super Lig this season, but they should be able to record a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
31.93% (0.158 0.16) 25.11% (0.054000000000002 0.05) 42.96% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 56.25% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.87% (-0.189 -0.19)47.13% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.63% (-0.176 -0.18)69.36% (0.172 0.17)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (0.007000000000005 0.01)27.96% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (0.011000000000003 0.01)63.59% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)21.92% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.273 -0.27)55.19% (0.271 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 31.93%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 42.96%
    Draw 25.11%
KasimpasaDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.063 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 11.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.3% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.96%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Istanbul

Kasimpasa
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Istanbul Basaksehir
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 5.15pm
Istanbul
4-0
Kasimpasa
Aleksic (22'), Szysz (38'), Chouiar (74'), Turuc (77' pen.)
Tekdemir (13'), Ndayishimiye (23')

Hajradinovic (15'), Ozcan (51'), Petretta (76')
Apr 30, 2022 2pm
Kasimpasa
2-3
Istanbul
Fall (43'), Muleka (78')
Gulbrandsen (28'), Trezeguet (45'), Turuc (52' pen.)
Cigerci (13'), Turuc (90+1')
Dec 11, 2021 1pm
Istanbul
2-1
Kasimpasa
Visca (53'), Tekdemir (90+2')
Duarte (45'), Tekdemir (85')
Hajradinovic (78')
Travnik (76'), Hajradinovic (84'), Haspolat (90+7')
Apr 22, 2021 5pm
Kasimpasa
0-1
Istanbul

Serbest (31'), Sadiku (78')
Chadli (36')
Duarte (90+2')
Dec 27, 2020 4pm
Istanbul
2-2
Kasimpasa
Chadli (27'), Visca (90+2')
Da Silva (58')
Erdogan (36'), Hodzic (85')
Kara (15'), Taskiran (88'), Tirpan (90+5')
Kara (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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