MX23RW : Thursday, June 27 19:35:06| >> :600:2455702:2455702:
Gent
Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ghelamco Arena
Qarabag

Gent
1 - 0
Qarabag

Orban (74')
Depoitre (51'), Fortuna (77'), Cuypers (85')
FT
(aet)

Vesovic (14'), Gurbanli (41'), Romao (50')
Gent win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Gent and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gent 2-0 Leuven
Sunday, February 19 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-0 Gent
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We say: Gent 1-1 Qarabag FK (Qarabag FK to win 2-1 on aggregate)

This is bound to be another close game due to how tight things were in the first leg, and that could create some nervy moments for both. While Gent will fancy their chances at scoring at least once at home, it would not be a shock to see the visitors also get on the scoresheet to cause a surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%).

Result
GentDrawQarabag FK
42.87% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 25.12% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.019999999999996 0.02)47.18% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.02 0.02)69.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.72% (0.031000000000006 0.03)55.28% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06%27.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Gent 42.87%
    Qarabag FK 32%
    Draw 25.12%
GentDrawQarabag FK
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32%

How you voted: Gent vs Qarabag

Gent
52.2%
Draw
20.3%
Qarabag FK
27.5%
69
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs
Qarabag
1-0
Gent
Andrade (78')
Gugeshashvili (90+2'), Xhixha (90+6')

Torunarigha (51'), De Sart (71'), Marreh (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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