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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Shamrock Rovers
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin
Gent

Shamrock
1 - 1
Gent

Gaffney (3')
Ferizaj (25'), Kavanagh (42'), Towell (66'), Farrugia (85'), Cleary (88'), Gannon (90+4')
Ferizaj (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hong (74')
Marreh (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Shamrock Rovers and Gent, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shamrock 4-1 St Patrick's
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Gent

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 2-1 RFC Seraing
Sunday, October 23 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Shamrock Rovers 0-2 Gent

 Shamrock are out of the competition with two games to go but a brilliant domestic home record suggests Gent will not have it all their own way on Thursday night. However, the reverse fixture in Belgium earlier in the group stage put on display the gulf in quality between the two teams, something that should shine through once again in a must-win game for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Gent had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawGent
49.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.9% (-0.041 -0.04) 26.32% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.64% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.04% (0.209 0.21)44.95% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69% (0.202 0.2)67.3% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86% (0.076999999999998 0.08)18.14% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9% (0.13500000000001 0.14)49.1% (-0.141 -0.14)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (0.14099999999999 0.14)30.81% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (0.168 0.17)67.08% (-0.172 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 49.78%
    Gent 26.32%
    Draw 23.89%
Shamrock RoversDrawGent
2-1 @ 9.59%
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 49.78%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.32%

How you voted: Shamrock vs Gent

Shamrock Rovers
26.2%
Draw
12.3%
Gent
61.5%
65
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Group F
Gent
3-0
Shamrock
Cuypers (9'), Odjidja-Ofoe (18', 65')
Petter Hauge (73')
rhs 2.0
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