Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki

Olympiakos
0 - 3
Qarabag

Valbuena (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kwabena (68'), Vesovic (82'), Seydayev (86')
Cafarquliyev (34'), Seydayev (87'), Qarayev (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Atromitos
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Qarabag FK

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Qarabag FK 3-0 Nantes
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Olympiacos 1-3 Qarabag FK

Olympiacos might be the team with more European experience on paper, but when it comes to the most recent results it is the visitors that have shown more confidence and quality. Qarabag have great attacking skills which have been showcased across recent performances, and that should lead to them causing plenty of problems throughout this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 13.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Qarabag FK
65.68% ( 0.01)	21.11% ( -0.03)	13.2% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.4% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.62% (

0.14)

51.37% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.8% (

0.13)

73.19% (

-0.13)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.13% (

0.05)

14.87% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.79% (

0.09)

43.21% (

-0.1)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.98% (

0.12)

49.02% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.03% (

0.08)

83.97% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 65.67%

Qarabag FK 13.2%

Draw 21.11%

Olympiacos	Draw	Qarabag FK
1-0 @ 13.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 65.67%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.11%	0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 13.2%