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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Ozdoyev (24')
Ricci (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zajc (51'), Szalai (78')
Kadioglu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-1 Karagumruk
Monday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-3 Fenerbahce

While Fatih Karagumruk will be looking to extend their fine run of form, Jesus's side know that they cannot afford any more slip-ups if they are to catch Galatasaray at the top of the table. We predict plenty of goalmouth action at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium on Monday with Fenerbahce claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 58.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-3 (7.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawFenerbahce
21.1% (-0.382 -0.38) 19.95% (-0.152 -0.15) 58.95% (0.532 0.53)
Both teams to score 64.23% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.89% (0.21299999999999 0.21)32.11% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.31% (0.248 0.25)53.69% (-0.251 -0.25)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.199 -0.2)27.99% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.254 -0.25)63.63% (0.253 0.25)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (0.20299999999999 0.2)10.8% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.16% (0.452 0.45)34.84% (-0.454 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 21.1%
    Fenerbahce 58.95%
    Draw 19.95%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-0 @ 3.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 21.1%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 19.95%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 7.07% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.55% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.5% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.94% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 3.09% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.75% (0.043 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.38% (0.041 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 58.95%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Fenerbahce

Fatih Karagumruk
5.6%
Draw
11.1%
Fenerbahce
83.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Fenerbahce
5-4
Karagumruk
Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
Borini (16', 66'), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')
Dursun (27')
May 15, 2022 5pm
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
Feb 13, 2021 4pm
Oct 3, 2020 5pm
Fenerbahce
2-1
Karagumruk
Samatta (24', 67')
Lemos (77')
Lemos (85')
Sabo (77' pen.)
Salibur (54'), Durmaz (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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1GalatasarayGalatasaray66002051518
2Fenerbahce6411145913
3BesiktasBesiktas5410114713
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul6411138513
5Samsunspor640273412
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK52308359
7EyupsporEyupspor62319639
8KonyasporKonyaspor622267-18
9SivassporSivasspor722368-28
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor6222912-38
11KasimpasaKasimpasa613268-26
12AlanyasporAlanyaspor613269-36
13Bodrumspor620459-46
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor50503305
15GaziantepGaziantep511347-34
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor6114314-114
17KayserisporKayserispor503259-43
18Hatayspor6024410-62
19Adana Demirspor6015514-91


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