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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Apr 10, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Ozdoyev (24')
Ricci (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zajc (51'), Szalai (78')
Kadioglu (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbulspor 0-1 Karagumruk
Monday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-3 Fenerbahce

While Fatih Karagumruk will be looking to extend their fine run of form, Jesus's side know that they cannot afford any more slip-ups if they are to catch Galatasaray at the top of the table. We predict plenty of goalmouth action at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium on Monday with Fenerbahce claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 58.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-3 (7.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawFenerbahce
21.1% (-0.382 -0.38) 19.95% (-0.152 -0.15) 58.95% (0.532 0.53)
Both teams to score 64.23% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.89% (0.21299999999999 0.21)32.11% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.31% (0.248 0.25)53.69% (-0.251 -0.25)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.199 -0.2)27.99% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.254 -0.25)63.63% (0.253 0.25)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.2% (0.20299999999999 0.2)10.8% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.16% (0.452 0.45)34.84% (-0.454 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 21.1%
    Fenerbahce 58.95%
    Draw 19.95%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-0 @ 3.85% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.45% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 21.1%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 19.95%
1-2 @ 9.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.49% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 7.07% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.55% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-3 @ 4.5% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.94% (0.065 0.07)
0-4 @ 3.09% (0.068 0.07)
2-4 @ 2.51% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.75% (0.043 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.38% (0.041 0.04)
2-5 @ 1.12% (0.022 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 58.95%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Fenerbahce

Fatih Karagumruk
Draw
Fenerbahce
Fatih Karagumruk
5.6%
Draw
11.1%
Fenerbahce
83.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Fenerbahce
5-4
Karagumruk
Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
Borini (16', 66'), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')
Dursun (27')
May 15, 2022 5pm
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
Feb 13, 2021 4pm
Oct 3, 2020 5pm
Fenerbahce
2-1
Karagumruk
Samatta (24', 67')
Lemos (77')
Lemos (85')
Sabo (77' pen.)
Salibur (54'), Durmaz (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray27225068274171
2Fenerbahce26195263234062
3Samsunspor27156644301451
4BesiktasBesiktas26128639261344
5EyupsporEyupspor27128740291144
6GaziantepGaziantep26115103635138
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK26107944341037
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul26106104137436
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2698943311235
10KasimpasaKasimpasa2781184752-535
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor27103143446-1233
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor2796123051-2133
13KonyasporKonyaspor2787123340-731
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor2787123140-931
15Bodrumspor2786132029-930
16SivassporSivasspor2776143345-1227
17KayserisporKayserispor2669112746-1927
18Hatayspor2647152946-1719
19Adana Demirspor2624202560-35-2


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