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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 6pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
5 - 4
Karagumruk

Crespo (9'), Valencia (28', 62' pen., 73' pen.), Batshuayi (90+5')
Crespo (55')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Borini (16', 66' pen.), Kouassi (24'), Kapacak (83')
Dursun (27'), Shukurov (58'), Nicholas (71'), Borini (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 1-2 Istanbulspor
Monday, October 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Fenerbahce have won their last five home competitive games, and we think that they will sweep aside Fatih Karagumruk to extend their unbeaten run to seven matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 76.99%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 8.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.76%) and 1-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
76.99% (-0.373 -0.37) 14.89% (0.229 0.23) 8.12% (0.1411 0.14)
Both teams to score 45.59% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (-0.60299999999999 -0.6)38.23% (0.6 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (-0.645 -0.65)60.51% (0.642 0.64)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.81% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)8.19% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.31% (-0.559 -0.56)28.69% (0.557 0.56)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.65% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)50.35% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (-0.054 -0.05)84.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 76.96%
    Fatih Karagumruk 8.12%
    Draw 14.89%
FenerbahceDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 12.9% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.31% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.74% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
4-1 @ 4.62% (-0.078 -0.08)
5-0 @ 3.37% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.31% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 76.96%
1-1 @ 7.08% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 14.89%
0-1 @ 2.83% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.43% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 0.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 8.12%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Karagumruk

Fenerbahce
86.4%
Draw
13.6%
Fatih Karagumruk
0.0%
22
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 5pm
Dec 22, 2021 5pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Fenerbahce
Pesic (31')
Ugur (67')
Bekaroglu (37'), Erkin (38')
Ozil (40' pen.)
Kahveci (72')
Feb 13, 2021 4pm
Oct 3, 2020 5pm
Fenerbahce
2-1
Karagumruk
Samatta (24', 67')
Lemos (77')
Lemos (85')
Sabo (77' pen.)
Salibur (54'), Durmaz (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray12111033112234
2Fenerbahce1292133112229
3Samsunspor1382325141126
4EyupsporEyupspor136431913622
5Goztepe SKGoztepe SK126332315821
6BesiktasBesiktas126332114721
7SivassporSivasspor135351720-318
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul124441717016
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor125161220-816
10GaziantepGaziantep124351818015
11KasimpasaKasimpasa133641619-315
12KonyasporKonyaspor134361521-615
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
15KayserisporKayserispor122641322-912
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor122551015-511
17Bodrumspor133281017-711
18Hatayspor121471119-87
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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