Karagumruk will enter this match as the favourites, with Pirlo's side looking to extend their long unbeaten run; we are expecting them to avoid defeat here, but Istanbulspor have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils in Monday night's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Istanbulspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
32.1% ( -0.58)	23.95% ( -0.33)	43.95% ( 0.91)

Both teams to score 60.37% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.23% (

1.34)

41.77% (

-1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.83% (

1.34)

64.17% (

-1.33)

Istanbulspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

0.3)

25.24% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

0.41)

59.99% (

-0.41)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75% (

0.95)

19.24% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.04% (

1.53)

50.96% (

-1.53)

Score Analysis

Istanbulspor 32.1%

Fatih Karagumruk 43.95%

Draw 23.95%

Istanbulspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.1%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.95%