Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30

Apr 18, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Alanya Oba Stadium

Alanyaspor
1 - 4
Galatasaray

Karaca (17' pen.)
Ozdemir (31'), Doumbia (55'), Pereira (84')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Bardakci (14'), Icardi (42'), Mertens (48'), Rashica (63')
Yilmaz (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Alanyaspor and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alanyaspor

All competitions

Last Game: Antalyaspor 3-1 Alanyaspor
Friday, April 14 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Galatasaray

All competitions

Last Game: Galatasaray 6-0 Kayserispor
Friday, April 14 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Alanyaspor 0-3 Galatasaray

While Alanyaspor will be looking to snap their poor run, they go up against title favourites Galatasaray who are on a run of 15 wins from their last 16 league matches. With their eyes now fixed on the league title, we predict that Buruk's side will comfortably see off the hosts and maintain their momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
Alanyaspor	Draw	Galatasaray
20.54% ( 1.36)	20.56% ( 0.91)	58.9% ( -2.27)

Both teams to score 60.99% (

-0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.1% (

-2.3)

35.9% (

2.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.01% (

-2.58)

57.99% (

2.58)

Alanyaspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

-0.06)

30.7% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05% (

-0.07)

66.95% (

0.08)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.01% (

-1.3)

11.99% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.58% (

-2.84)

37.42% (

2.84)

Score Analysis

Alanyaspor 20.54%

Galatasaray 58.9%

Draw 20.56%

Alanyaspor	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 20.54%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.56%	1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.49) 1-3 @ 6.91% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.37) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.31) 2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.22) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.25) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.21) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.45% Total : 58.9%